ECB fixing of 2026-10-22

AUD/JPY volatility

At the 2026-10-22 ECB fixing, AUD/JPY had a typical close-to-close move of about 68 pips a day, which is normal for this pair: higher than 62% of the past three years.

Realized vol (20d)9.8%annualized
Typical daily move68 pips0.62% of price
RegimeNormal62th percentile, 3 years
ECB fixing110.1192026-10-22
0%11%22%2026-04-232026-10-15
Realized volatility over each following week, annualized, from ECB reference rates.

A stop at 1.5 times the typical daily move would be about 102 pips. Size a trade with that stop in the position size calculator.

Method and limits

  • Prices are the European Central Bank's euro reference rates, one fixing a business day around 14:10 CET. Crosses are derived through the euro. Volatility estimates and regimes are calculated by FXPM Labs.
  • Realized volatility is the root mean square of daily log returns over 20 fixings, annualized with 252 trading days. The typical daily move is the same figure before annualizing.
  • The regime compares the latest available 20-day figure with the past three years: below the 25th percentile is low, above the 75th is high and above the 95th is extreme.
  • One fixing a day measures close-to-close moves. Intraday ranges are wider, and fixing-to-fixing data misses moves that reverse within the day.
  • Volatility describes how much a price moves, not which way. Nothing here is a trading recommendation.

Source: European Central Bank euro foreign exchange reference rates; volatility estimates derived by FXPM Labs. Data as of 2026-10-22.

Questions

How many pips does AUD/JPY move a day?

Over the last 20 ECB fixings its typical daily move was about 68 pips (0.62%), measured close to close. Intraday ranges are wider.

Was AUD/JPY volatility high at the latest ECB fixing?

At the 2026-10-22 ECB fixing it was in the normal regime: its 20-day figure was above 62% of readings from the past three years.